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Friday, March 2, 2012

Bama is 1 point favorite in Oxford...

Don't bet the ranch in my opinion...


Is Releford over the flu?
     Do you believe that there are places where a team just seems jinxed?  I know that jinxes are not  really true but Ole Miss is one of the teams in one of those places that 'Bama struggles. Bama has lost the last two years in Oxford. This year Alabama is a 1 point favorite , Don't hold your breath. I'm picking Ole Miss to soundly beat Alabama tomorrow. Why? Well, every time I pick the Tide to win in Oxford they lose. They lose by big amounts, small margins, freaky events, and officiating that proves the visually impaired can find work. So this year I think Ole Miss is going to blow the Tide away. I'm going with the reverse psychology.  


     Ole Miss has the Tide's number. The Rebels probably have a picket line on the State border and they send the message to Oxford that the losers are on their way. Ole Miss is where Alabama can't shoot (that might be said for a lot of arenas) straight. I'm not sure why Alabama has such a tough time in Oxford. I went to the first game ever played in the Tad Pad. It was a radical design for its time and seated what Ole Miss officials realistic thought they might be able to draw. The home crowd is rarely fired up. It just doesn't seem like it is much of a home court advantage. Yet, the Rebels are almost impossible to beat in Oxford. Tomorrow means so much to Bama. Can Alabama find a way to overcome the size of the Ole Miss front Court? Jacobs, Green, and Randolph are going to have to rebound well. Steele and Releford are going to get some chances because Ole Miss is going to shoot some threes and misses will result in long rebound chances.


     Part of reason that Ole Miss beats Alabama is that they have better talent. You can start this year with Terrance Henry, a senior who can put together some good games. He is average 12.4 ppgs. One of the real problems is the balanced scoring by the rebels. Holloway, Williams, and Summers are all averaging in double figures. Jarvis Summers is the Rebels long range threat but Henry can make threes as welll.


Can Grant dial up a winning combo?
     The  Rebels are led on defense by Reginald Buckner who is the 17th all time shot blocker in SEC history. Ole Miss goes, 6-9,6-9, and 6-8 in the backcourt. The Rebels are the leading team in the SEC in Rebounds with 38+ per game. Bama simply does not match up well with the Rebels. If Ole Miss is able to slow down the tempo and establish a half court offense their rebounding could kill the Tide. 


    I'll be honest. I think Ole Miss is going to win this game. I hope I am wrong. Some writers are saying that it might be better for Alabama to lose this game. They seem to think it might give Alabama some type of advantage in the SEC
Tournament. That's crooked thinking. A win guarantees 'Bama a first round bye. It might mean that Bama catches Kentucky but to win the whole deal they have to beat the Wildcats anyway. I don't like this losing is better talk. Winning is always better. That's what Bama stands for. 

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